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2024-12-13 16:34:22

With regard to consumption, everyone knows the current consumption situation. The capital speculation, education, pet economy, cinema, snacks, millet economy, and the concept of Pinduoduo and Tik Tok are also confirming this logic. When I have time, I can talk more about the dilemma we are facing. That is to say, you should not just watch the excitement, but understand the current consumption situation, which is no longer a house, a car, home appliances, and a rough road.Although countless people, such as Mr. Li Daxiao, are calling for embracing the market weight of core values every day, millions of big V's remind small-cap stocks of the risks every day, and call attention to the switching of large and small tickets every day, but for several months, I haven't seen the switching, or even the signs of switching. In the past few months, the rise of small tickets has reached a new high every day without looking back, and the weight headed by SSE 50 has almost never looked back after hitting a high on October 8.Current A-shares: The upward momentum is still the same, so we need to be cautious in chasing up —— Investment suggestion of technical school


So how should we treat the opportunities and risks in the current market? Let me tell you my views.I'm very sorry, I stopped for one day yesterday, on the one hand, because I was suddenly sleepy, but more importantly, I don't think there is anything to worry about on the disk. My previous article was very clear, that is, I looked at the continuous repair of the positive line and reversed the negative line on Tuesday.Today, when I saw that those who sell kitchen utensils, diapers, pine nuts and duck necks are all soaring, I saw that more of them are risks. I don't think these things are going to be reversed. This kind of hype must be that risks outweigh opportunities. I have read all three of their quarterly reports, and it is definitely an indescribable dangerous smell.


Current A-shares: The upward momentum is still the same, so we need to be cautious in chasing up —— Investment suggestion of technical schoolI don't want to argue about right and wrong here, but let everyone understand the current market style. The current market is no longer the semiconductor, medicine, liquor, new energy, automobile, brokerage, food and household appliances and orderly rotating market before 2021. Now the funds are all thieves. Thanks to the unprecedented liquidity, they are all staring at a theme concept, that is, a wave of fierce competition, and then the news will fall to the ground to bet who will have it. The smaller the ticket, the more favored it is by funds. Nobody wants to be sedan chair, the former white horse stock and blue chip stock. This is the market style at present and even for a long time to come.The weekly chart shows that liquor has been in such a downward channel, so the two red points circled by me in the chart, one is the high point on October 8 and the other is the high point on November 12, corresponding to the market turnover of 3 trillion and 2.6 trillion respectively at that time, and liquor will face this pressure again tomorrow. If its turnover cannot exceed before, it will not be able to break through this trend line. Then, with the news of the meeting, I have doubts about the sustainability of the whole consumption sector. Even if it can rise tomorrow and Friday, I am worried that it is taking advantage of the megaphone effect on the weekend. After all, consumption is the sector that can't afford scrutiny, the most uncertain performance and the most fantastic speculation.

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